Comments on: Southeast Invitational: Preseason best and worst value pick predictions http://somebaseballnotes.com/2008/03/26/southeast-invitational-preseason-best-and-worst-value-pick-predictions/ Searching for truth behind the numbers of this great game Mon, 27 Apr 2009 20:57:17 +0000 http://wordpress.com/ hourly 1 By: rboudra http://somebaseballnotes.com/2008/03/26/southeast-invitational-preseason-best-and-worst-value-pick-predictions/#comment-8198 rboudra Thu, 07 Aug 2008 22:13:36 +0000 http://rkirksey.wordpress.com/?p=132#comment-8198 No midseason report? No midseason report?

]]> By: Ryan Kirksey http://somebaseballnotes.com/2008/03/26/southeast-invitational-preseason-best-and-worst-value-pick-predictions/#comment-3439 Ryan Kirksey Fri, 04 Apr 2008 05:36:00 +0000 http://rkirksey.wordpress.com/?p=132#comment-3439 Jr Sheets, Thanks for the comment. Small world...and tell Daisha I say hello, and I am sure our moms say hello and all of that, too. I couldn't agree with you more about the deeper leagues being more fun, I actually play in some of them (12 or 14 teams, 18 is pretty intense), but have always been voted down when bringing up expanding this league. But I have been in this one for six years now and it is with my best friends and will always be my favorite, even if it is not for money. And for as much bashing as I did (do) of Luke Scott, I ended up taking him as a fourth or fifth OF in my most competitive league. But as much as I love Jones and Markakis, I just don't see Scott as a fit with them as a 30-year old OF without ever having a full-time job whose arbitration clock is just about to start ticking. I just want to see how he performs in the fabulous AL East as opposed to the crappy NL Central. But he is definitely a 20-HR, marginal defense, serviceable outfielder. Jr Sheets,

Thanks for the comment. Small world…and tell Daisha I say hello, and I am sure our moms say hello and all of that, too.

I couldn’t agree with you more about the deeper leagues being more fun, I actually play in some of them (12 or 14 teams, 18 is pretty intense), but have always been voted down when bringing up expanding this league. But I have been in this one for six years now and it is with my best friends and will always be my favorite, even if it is not for money.

And for as much bashing as I did (do) of Luke Scott, I ended up taking him as a fourth or fifth OF in my most competitive league. But as much as I love Jones and Markakis, I just don’t see Scott as a fit with them as a 30-year old OF without ever having a full-time job whose arbitration clock is just about to start ticking. I just want to see how he performs in the fabulous AL East as opposed to the crappy NL Central.

But he is definitely a 20-HR, marginal defense, serviceable outfielder.

]]> By: Ryan Kirksey http://somebaseballnotes.com/2008/03/26/southeast-invitational-preseason-best-and-worst-value-pick-predictions/#comment-3437 Ryan Kirksey Fri, 04 Apr 2008 05:18:47 +0000 http://rkirksey.wordpress.com/?p=132#comment-3437 Regan, you know I am the president of the Jeter-hater fan club, but I used the same justfication you did. He will get me fantasy points. Regan, you know I am the president of the Jeter-hater fan club, but I used the same justfication you did. He will get me fantasy points.

]]> By: rboudra http://somebaseballnotes.com/2008/03/26/southeast-invitational-preseason-best-and-worst-value-pick-predictions/#comment-3430 rboudra Thu, 03 Apr 2008 19:17:34 +0000 http://rkirksey.wordpress.com/?p=132#comment-3430 You know what's funny, I'm pretty lukewarm on Carlos Guillen, but I keep trying to talk myself into the fact that he's a fantasy SS. Plus, I couldn't take Jeter. I hate that guy. My best pick could be Jason Bay in the 11th round if he thinks it's 2006 and not 2007. I know he's not exactly in a stellar lineup, but when has he ever? You know what’s funny, I’m pretty lukewarm on Carlos Guillen, but I keep trying to talk myself into the fact that he’s a fantasy SS. Plus, I couldn’t take Jeter. I hate that guy. My best pick could be Jason Bay in the 11th round if he thinks it’s 2006 and not 2007. I know he’s not exactly in a stellar lineup, but when has he ever?

]]> By: Jr Sheets http://somebaseballnotes.com/2008/03/26/southeast-invitational-preseason-best-and-worst-value-pick-predictions/#comment-3429 Jr Sheets Thu, 03 Apr 2008 18:55:38 +0000 http://rkirksey.wordpress.com/?p=132#comment-3429 Oh and - is McPhail taking teams to the cleaners or what?!?! Oh and - is McPhail taking teams to the cleaners or what?!?!

]]> By: Jr Sheets http://somebaseballnotes.com/2008/03/26/southeast-invitational-preseason-best-and-worst-value-pick-predictions/#comment-3428 Jr Sheets Thu, 03 Apr 2008 18:52:58 +0000 http://rkirksey.wordpress.com/?p=132#comment-3428 Ryan: You don't know me; but my wife Daisha (formerly Stockstill) says you went to college with her and that your respective moms were suite-mates or something like that. OK, enough of introductions. Oh, and I'm a huge Baltimore Orioles fan living in Florida. I'm a fantasy baseball fanatic. In 4-leagues this year (though I think 3 is plenty). I am in an 18-team cbssportsline league (this draft was insane), 2 different 12-team yahoo leagues, and an mlb.com league (just for fun). All of these are head-to-head. I would have to say that with the depth of the majors this year, a 10-team league is no fun. No offense, but there is just too much depth for any manager to have a bad team - and there will ALWAYS be guys on the waiver wire to pick up. After doing this 18-team league; doing the draft, and watching how things are developing with this week's scoring so far, I'm a firm believer in high-manager leagues now. I don't think I'll ever do anything below 12-team ever anymore. Anyway, I had 2 good drafts and 2 pretty crappy ones (one of these I missed) - though we'll see how it all works out in the long run. I'd have to say that my best pick took place in the 18-team league. I got Furcal (SS-LAD) in the 10th round, 179th pick. Are you kidding me? Have no idea how he lasted that long. And my personal favorite, grabbing Zack Greinke in round 14 with the 251st pick. Great sleeper this year. Of course I loved some other picks in other drafts like Ethier and Loney in various late round picks... but the previously mentioned are my favorites. Anyway, I also read your take on the Tejada trade and for the most part I agree. I think people underestimate how far Tejada has fallen. His range is nil (not that that matters in fantasy) and his bat is just about done. I'd be shocked if he gets 20 dingers this season. I do disagree with your view on Luke Scott comparison to Jay Gibbons. Gibbons has turned into a joke, so much so we payed him $12M to leave the city. Luke Scott recorded a 1.047 and .855 in 2006, 2007 respectively. And if you know the Orioles, having a LF with a .850+ OPS on the field is something we drool at. And he closes out a very exciting OF with him, Jones and Markakis. OK, I'll stop typing now. And don't worry Justin, Roberts will produce to whatever round you picked him. He will tear it up this year in 1B, 2B and SB. Too bad you all don't count AVG or OPS when it comes to him. I'm out. Ryan: You don’t know me; but my wife Daisha (formerly Stockstill) says you went to college with her and that your respective moms were suite-mates or something like that. OK, enough of introductions.

Oh, and I’m a huge Baltimore Orioles fan living in Florida.

I’m a fantasy baseball fanatic. In 4-leagues this year (though I think 3 is plenty). I am in an 18-team cbssportsline league (this draft was insane), 2 different 12-team yahoo leagues, and an mlb.com league (just for fun). All of these are head-to-head.

I would have to say that with the depth of the majors this year, a 10-team league is no fun. No offense, but there is just too much depth for any manager to have a bad team - and there will ALWAYS be guys on the waiver wire to pick up. After doing this 18-team league; doing the draft, and watching how things are developing with this week’s scoring so far, I’m a firm believer in high-manager leagues now. I don’t think I’ll ever do anything below 12-team ever anymore.

Anyway, I had 2 good drafts and 2 pretty crappy ones (one of these I missed) - though we’ll see how it all works out in the long run.

I’d have to say that my best pick took place in the 18-team league. I got Furcal (SS-LAD) in the 10th round, 179th pick. Are you kidding me? Have no idea how he lasted that long. And my personal favorite, grabbing Zack Greinke in round 14 with the 251st pick. Great sleeper this year.

Of course I loved some other picks in other drafts like Ethier and Loney in various late round picks… but the previously mentioned are my favorites.

Anyway, I also read your take on the Tejada trade and for the most part I agree. I think people underestimate how far Tejada has fallen. His range is nil (not that that matters in fantasy) and his bat is just about done. I’d be shocked if he gets 20 dingers this season.
I do disagree with your view on Luke Scott comparison to Jay Gibbons. Gibbons has turned into a joke, so much so we payed him $12M to leave the city. Luke Scott recorded a 1.047 and .855 in 2006, 2007 respectively. And if you know the Orioles, having a LF with a .850+ OPS on the field is something we drool at. And he closes out a very exciting OF with him, Jones and Markakis.

OK, I’ll stop typing now. And don’t worry Justin, Roberts will produce to whatever round you picked him. He will tear it up this year in 1B, 2B and SB. Too bad you all don’t count AVG or OPS when it comes to him.

I’m out.

]]> By: Justin Jones http://somebaseballnotes.com/2008/03/26/southeast-invitational-preseason-best-and-worst-value-pick-predictions/#comment-3352 Justin Jones Sat, 29 Mar 2008 14:04:53 +0000 http://rkirksey.wordpress.com/?p=132#comment-3352 I completely agree with you on the Nick Swisher pick!!! I way overvalued the projections I was using. I should have done more research, and bounced some of the projections off the 2007 stats for our league. I think my pick for Chris Young may have been a stretch, although I don't remember what round I picked him. Also in hindsight, I'm also not crazy about the pick for Brian Roberts. It was fun though, I wasn't sure what to expect this being my first draft. Things went a lot faster then I thought they would, so I didn't have the time to think that I thought I would. I completely agree with you on the Nick Swisher pick!!! I way overvalued the projections I was using. I should have done more research, and bounced some of the projections off the 2007 stats for our league. I think my pick for Chris Young may have been a stretch, although I don’t remember what round I picked him. Also in hindsight, I’m also not crazy about the pick for Brian Roberts. It was fun though, I wasn’t sure what to expect this being my first draft. Things went a lot faster then I thought they would, so I didn’t have the time to think that I thought I would.

]]> By: johnmvp.com http://somebaseballnotes.com/2008/03/26/southeast-invitational-preseason-best-and-worst-value-pick-predictions/#comment-3336 johnmvp.com Fri, 28 Mar 2008 20:54:34 +0000 http://rkirksey.wordpress.com/?p=132#comment-3336 Thank you. I bookmarked the links you recommended. Thanks for the reference. Thank you. I bookmarked the links you recommended. Thanks for the reference.

]]> By: Ryan Kirksey http://somebaseballnotes.com/2008/03/26/southeast-invitational-preseason-best-and-worst-value-pick-predictions/#comment-3333 Ryan Kirksey Fri, 28 Mar 2008 15:01:36 +0000 http://rkirksey.wordpress.com/?p=132#comment-3333 Most of my ideas come from either random stuff that is churning around in my brain, conversations I have with my fellow baseball-obsessed friends, or things I hear or read that I question or have doubts about the validity. As far as research, books first: SABR Book of Records, Neyer/James Guide to Pitchers, The Book (Tango, Lichtman and Dolphin), Baseball Between the Numbers (BP team of experts), Ron Shandler's Baseball Forecaster, and Bill James Historical Abstract. Some good resources that I don't own are the Bill James' Handbooks. Websites: Beyond your standard stuff at mlb.com, baseballreference.com or espn.com (where I get park factors from), baseballprospectus.com (subscription site, also produce a quality annual book), thehardballtimes.com (free and also produce a quality book every year), fangraphs.com, and The Book blog at insidethebook.com are my favorites. Also good for minor league and college reference is baseballamerica.com. A relatively new site is baseboogle.com, which is essentially Google for baseball-related material. A search engine for all things baseball. Most of my ideas come from either random stuff that is churning around in my brain, conversations I have with my fellow baseball-obsessed friends, or things I hear or read that I question or have doubts about the validity.
As far as research, books first:
SABR Book of Records, Neyer/James Guide to Pitchers, The Book (Tango, Lichtman and Dolphin), Baseball Between the Numbers (BP team of experts), Ron Shandler’s Baseball Forecaster, and Bill James Historical Abstract. Some good resources that I don’t own are the Bill James’ Handbooks.
Websites:
Beyond your standard stuff at mlb.com, baseballreference.com or espn.com (where I get park factors from), baseballprospectus.com (subscription site, also produce a quality annual book), thehardballtimes.com (free and also produce a quality book every year), fangraphs.com, and The Book blog at insidethebook.com are my favorites.
Also good for minor league and college reference is baseballamerica.com.
A relatively new site is baseboogle.com, which is essentially Google for baseball-related material. A search engine for all things baseball.

]]> By: JOHNMVP.COM http://somebaseballnotes.com/2008/03/26/southeast-invitational-preseason-best-and-worst-value-pick-predictions/#comment-3325 JOHNMVP.COM Thu, 27 Mar 2008 23:58:16 +0000 http://rkirksey.wordpress.com/?p=132#comment-3325 Hey, Just curious, where do you do your research for you articles? Do you find out what you want to write about by looking at others blogs? Ideas that just pop in your head? Please let me know (helping a fellow blogger, me) Hey,

Just curious, where do you do your research for you articles? Do you find out what you want to write about by looking at others blogs? Ideas that just pop in your head? Please let me know (helping a fellow blogger, me)

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